I guess that you didn't research the buzz before you wrote this article. Everyone overwhelmingly believes that Daniel Day-Lewis will win for his unbelievable performance (he has been winning awards right and left including the Golden Globes, SAG Awards and other critics awards). None of the actors nominated have any chance against him including George Clooney. George even stated this during the luncheon for all the nominees. I guess that a favoritism for George Clooney is probably influencing your opinion!