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Anonymous (not verified) says:
Obama may win, but it won't be easy. Remember that Arnold got 60% of the vote in 2006 (a year that was terrible for the GOP), AND McCain is pretty close with Arnold.
That could put CA in contention and that would be very bad for Obama.
Furthermore, if 2008 is like 1976, then after 4 terrible years, we will have another generation of GOP dominance from 2012 onwards. Rememeber that after Jimmy Carter, Democrats never again got 50% of the popular vote in SEVEN subsequent elections. The GOP got 50% or more FOUR times out of sever (1980, 1984, 1988, 2004).
Obama may win, but it won't be easy. Remember that Arnold got 60% of the vote in 2006 (a year that was terrible for the GOP), AND McCain is pretty close with Arnold.
That could put CA in contention and that would be very bad for Obama.
Furthermore, if 2008 is like 1976, then after 4 terrible years, we will have another generation of GOP dominance from 2012 onwards. Rememeber that after Jimmy Carter, Democrats never again got 50% of the popular vote in SEVEN subsequent elections. The GOP got 50% or more FOUR times out of sever (1980, 1984, 1988, 2004).