Cunningham on 2009 Field, Cunningham

From an email exchange with former Bloomberg campaign manager and current public relations executive Bill Cunningham on the early-but-active state of play for 2009:

Too early to rate odds other than the conventional wisdom...Thompson will be seen as the front runner given his two terms in citywide office, money in the bank, and Brooklyn base. Weiner will be seen as very formidable due to his run last time and his tax cut plan that he will dust off whenever there is an opportunity, as we saw this week re the tax analysis that was released showing NYC atop all other cities in taxes.

Carrion and Quinn have their advantages but neither has a citywide race to point to. Which all means exactly...nothing. 2007 and 2008 are the years to organize, fundraise and develop themes.

I asked him if there was any chance he'd find himself involved in the race somehow. His reponse:

I'm very happy at Dan Klores Communications, but as Mario Cuomo was fond of saying: "between now and then a Pope could be born."

-- Azi Paybarah
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Anonymous says:

I really think people are giving enough credit to Carrion

Anonymous (not verified) says:

Carrion shouldn't be underestimated. He has a natural base from which to run, he's smart and likeable, he just needs to raise more money.

Anonymous says:

Got Baum?

Anonymous says:

campaign manager?

Anonymous says:

If Carrion can raise some more money he will be a real contender. Saw him on NY1 and his message can really play throughout NYC....He is not your typical NYC knee jerk dem. He will have broad appeal throughout the outerboroughs....

Anonymous says:

The Bronx is going to kill Carrion. He needs to distance himself from the machine.

Anonymous says:

which among them is not linked to a machine, pray tell?

Fidel (not verified) says:

Carrion will never be mayor no matter how far he puts his face up bloomberg's butt.

Anonymous says:

Carrion needs to hire Cunningham

Anon (not verified) says:

Bill Cunningham is a class act. Anyone who wants to win the Mayoral race in NYC should give whatever he has to say some seriuos consideration, he knows the game as well as anyone.

Fidel (not verified) says:

What does Cunningham have to say? Absolutely nothing of value, bloomberg bought his way into city hall twice. At the end of his first term as mayor, bloomberg's approval rating was at 40%, is that because of Cunningham's good work?

Now bloomberg hires Howard Reubenstein and Reubenstein's questionable Q- poll to lie to everyone about what a good job bloomberg is doing.

Bill Cunningham, like his former boss, is clueless.

Jake (not verified) says:

Bill DeBlasio could be a dark-horse candidate. He's got the ambition. I still think Weiner is the favorite. He'll be able to raise money like crazy.

Anonymous says:

Carrion and Thompson are too easily tied to the bad old ways of the liberal machine establishment. Weiner knows this, he struck the right tones in 2005, but frankly he comes off like a punk. Quinn on the other hand, is as tied to the machine as they all are, and she's trying real hard to seem independent and results oriented. But, her ass kissing of Bloomberg really hurts her with those Primary Dems. Fact is, for four consecutive Mayoral elections, New Yorkers chose independent alternatives, and in 2009 they will once again. If any of these candidates emerge from the primary, they will be beat by some candidate running as an independent Republican. Weiner has the best chance to win, but his punkish-ness will prove his undoing. So, who will be that winning candidate be? Anyone think Parsons can do it?

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